2025 MLB Mock Draft

What are we doing here? Well, I could not tell you. We’re a full calendar year away from the 2025 MLB Draft, but the 2024 Draft is in the books and we’re more than halfway through the 2024 MLB season. With that comes standings and lottery odds. This mock draft will reflect the standings as of Sunday, July 7.

Is this an exercise in futility? Without question. A waste of time? Sure, maybe. But are you here reading it?

*mic drop*

Thanks to our friends at Tankathon, we simulated how the lottery would play out for next year. As things currently stand just three games separate the team with the best odds to land the No. 4 overall pick and the team with the odds to land the No. 14 pick. A lot will change. Randomizing things was the only way to go. Here are the results.

*Winning percentages frozen at **around** the 80-82 games mark

EDITOR’S NOTE: The following rankings and evaluations by FSS PLUS are based on subjective analysis and industry sources, and do not influence, are not influenced by, or are affiliated with the opinions and reports of Future Stars Series scouting and development staff.

1. Colorado Rockies

Jace LaViolette, OF — Texas A&M
HOMETOWN: Katy, Texas
HEIGHT: 6-6
WEIGHT: 230
BAT/THROW: L-L

LaViolette has established himself as arguably the top college bat currently available in the 2025 Draft. It’s size, it’s physicality, it’s left-handed with borderline elite-level power. There’s a strong approach offensively, above-average run times on the bases and in the field, as well as the chance to play centerfield if only at a fringy level as a pro. Still, he’s tailor-made for right field at the next level where he’d be an asset defensively in almost every way.

LaViolette has shown some swing-and-miss in his game (albeit not an alarming amount of whiffs), but with another year of seasoning, he could see that take a jump in his draft-eligible junior campaign.

LaViolette enjoyed a .305/.449/.726 sophomore season smashing 29 homers and stealing seven bags. He’ll be even more protected in a loaded A&M lineup in 2025 and should see that slash-line bloat to even more impressive levels.

At 32-58, it’s been a difficult year for the Rockies on the field. Importantly, if the team were to land a top-six pick in 2025 as is suggested here, they would be ineligible to pick inside the top nine picks in 2026 with the new rules set forth by the CBA. And while still far out, the 2026 Draft could be the best since 2023.

2. Miami Marlins

Ethan Holliday, 3B — Stillwater HS
HOMETOWN: Stillwater, Oklahoma
HEIGHT: 6-4
WEIGHT: 210
BAT/THROW: L-R

The Miami Marlins are currently tied with the Rockies for the worst record in baseball at 32-58. If the season ended today they’d have a 23.49 percent chance of landing the No. 1 pick and roughly a 40 percent chance of landing the No. 2 overall pick. And the Marlins could certainly use a high pick.

The next Holliday in a long line of decorated impact bats, Ethan follows in his older brother’s footsteps and becomes the No. 1 overall pick in 2025. He’s a much more imposing hitter than his brother was at this same stage with far more projection in the power department than Jackson had/has. He’s already getting a majority of his reps at third base, and shortstop is all but out the window.

Holliday is a fluid defender with above-average arm strength and is quick enough to play a strong right field like his father (Matt) if things shake out that way. There will undoubtedly be pressure on the bat considering his already-off-the-middle-of-the-field profile, but scouts and analysts like myself are bullish on the athlete in the box, the projection in the stick, and what the whole package could look like a year from now.

3. Los Angeles Angels

Jamie Arnold, LHP — Florida State
HOMETOWN: Tampa, Florida
HEIGHT: 6-1
WEIGHT: 195
BAT/THROW: L-L

As of Sunday, July 7, the Angels currently hold a 3.5-game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays for the third-best odds to land the No. 1 overall pick. As things stand, the Angels have a 14.3 percent chance of making the first selection in 2025. With an anemic farm system and reinforcements needed on the big league ballclub, the Angels are in need of talent in bunches.

Arnold would be a tremendous get. He’s a metric darling with outlandish release traits and three pitches that project to ‘plus’ right now. It’s far too early to forecast whether the Angels would once again go for a fast-mover in the Draft, but Arnold has a chance to pitch in the big leagues in 2026.

In 105.2 innings in 2024, Arnold pitched to a 2.98 ERA with 159 strikeouts and just 26 walks. He was by many accounts the best starting pitcher in college baseball a full year before he’s draft eligible.

4. Washington Nationals

Xavier Neyens, 3B — Mount Vernon HS
HOMETOWN: Mount Vernon, Washington
HEIGHT: 6-4
WEIGHT: 205
BAT/THROW: L-R

Once you get to this point in the lottery it’s a complete and total traffic jam. The Nationals luck out by landing a high pick, though by the time this mock draft comes out Washington may have scratched its way back to .500.

Whenever you’re picking this high in the draft you need to go for ceiling and upside. Size, impact, physicality or up-the-middle dynamic traits are a must. Neyens may have the loudest bat of any prep in the 2025 class. It’s comfortably ‘plus’ power with a baseball card that has pummeled guys two years older than him on the showcase circuit for a few years now.

His defensive position is still in question, though he’s made strides at third base and is a good enough athlete to project a potential average glove at the hot corner. If that doesn’t bore out Neyens has a very strong arm and could make for an imposing right fielder. Still, you’re buying the bat here. Neyens has a chance to develop into a guy with 35-plus homer upside and a left-handed stick to boot.

5. Detroit Tigers

Brock Sell, OF — Tokay HS
HOMETOWN: Stockton, California
HEIGHT: 6-1
WEIGHT: 185
BAT/THROW: L-R

The Detroit Tigers once again luck out in a draft lottery by snatching the No. 5 pick out of what the odds say should have been pick No. 7. At 42-68 their season could go any number of ways, likely considering dictated by their decisions at the trade deadline.

Brock Sell is one of the twitchiest hitters in the 2025 class with a chance to develop five tools. He doesn’t possess the conventional size that picks in the top-five traditionally feature and isn’t yet bruising the baseball over the fence at will, but in the same vein as Max Clark he could play his way into front offices believing he could grow into middle-of-the-order projection. It’s top-of-the-class bat-to-ball skills with an all-fields approach and a jackrabbit first step out of the box.

Sell has the chance to stick in center field and his ‘plus’ run times should allow him to make hay on the base paths, too. Still, at just 6-foot-1, there will be tremendous pressure on the bat to bang between now and next July.

We’re bullish on the profile.

6. Chicago Cubs

Tyler Bremner, RHP — UC Santa Barbara
HOMETOWN: San Diego, California
HEIGHT: 6-2
WEIGHT: 190
BAT/THROW: R-R

At 42-49 the Cubs are going in the wrong direction and quickly this summer but there is still plenty of time to turn the rudders and right the ship. They’re shoved into the muddiness that is picks four through pick 14, though in this instance as things currently stand they end up with the No. 6 pick.

Bremner is a really nice pitching prospect who struck out 104 in just 88.2 innings this spring. He walked just 21 hitters. The fastball has teeth and is already up to 98 mph with big vertical carry. The changeup is his best secondary with some strong fading action and higher spin rates giving it arm-side action. He’s also been developing a sweeper and that’s a pitch that has taken major strides over the last calendar year.

The entire arsenal is thrown out of a deceptive slot; tough for the opposition to pick up, let alone square up. It’s all complimented by above-average control for the strike zone.

The Cubs would do well to add his menu of pitches and athletic upside to a burgeoning farm system.

7. Toronto Blue Jays

Brendan Summerhill, OF — Arizona
HOMETOWN: Chicago, Illinois
HEIGHT: 6-3
WEIGHT: 205
BAT/THROW: L-R

At 41-49 it’s been a difficult year for the Blue Jays as they try to stay relevant and afloat in the cannibalistic AL East. The bullpen has let them down and what was supposed to be a potent lineup has floundered for much of the spring. The only consolation? A potential top-ten pick in the 2025 Draft.

Summerhill is a long-levered, angular outfielder with a sweet, lofty left-handed swing and some present game power largely due to his feel for backspinning the baseball. He’s peaked at 110 mph in terms of exit velocities, but proponents of the profile point toward his leaner frame with strength projection on the horizon as a reason to believe there’s louder contact in the tank. It’s a quiet swing with pull-side authority with almost zero holes in his stroke.

Summerhill posts elite whiff rates and is among the best in the country in terms of in-zone swing-outcome production. There’s a whole lot of polish here and there may be more impact on the way.

Summerhill enjoyed a .324/.399/.550 sophomore campaign with the Wildcats and is doing a ton of damage on the Cape right now all while playing a steady centerfield.

8. Cincinnati Reds

9. Texas Rangers

Seth Hernandez, RHP — Corona HS
HOMETOWN: Chino, California
HEIGHT: 6-4
WEIGHT: 195
BAT/THROW: R-R

A year removed from winning the World Series the Rangers are in the midst of a terribly deflating 2024 campaign where it feels as though 140 percent of their roster has been hurt all season. The replacement-level production can’t take away their 2023 rings, however.

Hernandez might not even be available this late in the Draft but Texas would welcome another pitching prospect as they’ve found more and more success in developing that profile of late.

The thing that immediately stands out about Hernandez at this stage is his mature pitch-ability and his natural talent to pound the strike zone. He’ll work in the low 90s, grabbing 96 with solid spin and carry through the zone. His best weapon currently is a low-80s slider with solid depth and some sweep, as well as an upper-70s changeup, killing spin well.

Hernandez has a track record against older bats and he’s shredded them up. When you consider the resume, the frame, the projection, and the present feel for the mound, there’s upside here for an impact righty at the next level.

Hernandez will be 19 years old on draft day.

10. Chicago White Sox

Ike Irish, C — Auburn
HOMETOWN: Hudsonville, Michigan
HEIGHT: 6-2
WEIGHT: 203
BAT/THROW: L-R

The Chicago White Sox find themselves in the most unenviable position of any team in baseball. At 26-66, they currently have the worst record in the sport by a full seven games, yet because they’re a luxury-tax payor they are ineligible to select in the top six picks on back-to-back years. They have the No. 5 pick in the 2024 Draft.

Irish was a first-round talent in high school and has done nothing to dissuade that opinion. He enjoyed a .319/.403/.627 sophomore season blasting 14 homers along the way, hardly ever striking out. All this while playing a stalwart brand of defense behind the plate.

Since arriving to Auburn he’s shown off double-plus raw power and a willingness to pull the ball with authority, hitting high-level SEC pitching consistently and catching a staff of good arms. His bat-to-ball skills are absolutely fantastic, though he can get a little over-anxious and chase at the plate.

Irish ranks among the best in college baseball in making contact with pitches that are in the strike zone. The overall hit tool took a massive jump in 2024 as a whole.

He’d be a nice consolation prize for the White Sox at pick 10 and could move quickly through their system.

11. Oakland Athletics

Cam Cannarella, OF/SS — Clemson
HOMETOWN: Hartsville, South Carolina
HEIGHT: 6-0
WEIGHT: 180
BAT/THROW: L-r

If the White Sox have the shortest end of the stick, Oakland has a pretty tough draw too. It’s the fourth-worst record in baseball right now, but because they’ve picked in the top-six picks on back-to-back years, Oakland is ineligible to pick inside the top-nine in 2025. It’s hard to say exactly where their competitive window will begin, and relocation muddies waters even further. Regardless, the Athletics end up with one of the more premium defenders in the class.

Cannarella possesses borderline elite bat-to-ball skills and a selective, keen eye at the plate. He takes his walks and is a menace on the base paths though he was forced to play more station-to-station in 2024 while dealing with a shoulder injury.

While Cannarella doesn’t possess much more than average raw power, it’s further diluted by his higher-than-preferred ground ball rates. Those will need to improve if he’s to realize his top-ten pick upside. There’s enough raw power to force pitchers to be careful with him and Cannarella has shown an innate feel for the fat part of the bat highlighted by an average exit velocity in as a sophomore that approached 91 mph.

It’s a potential gold glove in centerfield and that should continue to buoy his profile if he never realizes the impact upside at the dish.

12. Pittsburgh Pirates

Gavin Kilen, SS — Tennessee
HOMETOWN: Milton, Wisconsin
HEIGHT: 5-11
WEIGHT: 180
BAT/THROW: L-R

The Pirates are still very much in the thick of the playoff race but as they’re currently five games under .500 they have some work to do. It’s an exciting time to be a Bucco fan with Paul Skenes and Jared Jones in tow.

The Pirates need bats. They need a lot of bats. I see no scenario where the Pirates will not continue to need bats in 2025.

Kilen’s brand is that of a sound hitter with impact still coming. He is extremely aggressive in the box and tends to swing at more pitches than he probably should resulting in well-below average chase rates. Still, he battles, draws long counts, and has largely avoided bloating his strikeout rates. There’s real feel to hit with elite bat-to-ball skills and a willingness to use all fields.

Kilen saw his exit velocities make huge strides in 2024 highlighted by a peak batted-ball event north of 111 mph. He’s growing into average raw power and could be a threat to hit north of 15 homers in 2025. He’s also arguably the top defensive shortstop available in the class.

13. San Francisco Giants

Aiva Arquette, SS — Washington (In Transfer Portal)
HOMETOWN: Honolulu, Hawaii
HEIGHT: 6-4
WEIGHT: 220
BAT/THROW: R-R

The Giants could end up in the playoffs or they could end up with a top-ten pick in the 2025 Draft. Time will tell. But the organization continues to need help on the infield for the future and Arquette would be a bombastic start.

Arquette’s bat took mammoth strides during his sophomore year and now represents one of the most complete sticks in the country. There are bat-to-ball skills and huge exit velocities, both of which were shown off on the Cape too. Arquette has a steady approach and a willingness to use right field, a rare trait for players his size.

If there’s one nitpicking trait scouts would like to see Arquette improve as the Draft nears, it would be his patience at the plate, specifically late in counts. He’s in no rush to take walks. Still, that’s a rather minor wart on a scouting report covered with above-average tools throughout.

14. Tampa Bay Rays

Ty Peeples, OF — Franklin County HS
HOMETOWN: Lavonia, Georgia
HEIGHT: 6-2
WEIGHT: 185
BAT/THROW: L-R

It hardly matters when taking a stab at who the Rays could pick in any given year. It’s a crapshoot. But Peeples has tools.

He is an intriguing offensive prospect with impressive athletic traits and plenty of impact to project going forward. Peeples generates a ton of whip in the box and has a bat path built for damage. He creates stretch with a long stride, though he still manages to keep his hands tight to the body making compact turns, driving the baseball with authority.

Peeples posts some fairly gaudy exit velocity numbers. He can get to just about any quadrant and has shown the ability to handle spin as well. There’s real hand speed here and his rotational torque points to a guy who could eventually play with above-average game power.

Peeples is a long strider with fringy-to-average speed on the bases. He seems to be most comfortable in left and right field where his stride and speed play best. There’s been some run at second and third base, though he’s a more natural fit in the outfield.

15. Arizona Diamondbacks

Eli Willits, SS — Fort Cobb-Broxton HS
HOMETOWN: Fort Cobb, Oklahoma
HEIGHT: 6-1
WEIGHT: 175
BAT/THROW: B-R

Like many teams above the DBacks on this mock, it’s been a difficult year in the desert. At 45-45, the DBacks are very much in it, but for now, they’re on the outside looking in.

A re-class from 2026, Eli Willits is a true switch-hitter in every sense of the word. Some guys fake it hitting from both sides and struggle from one side or the other. That’s not the case here.

From the left side, Willits features a tight, compact swing with quick hands and twitchy hips. He uses the whole field and has an adjustability with the barrel that few can match. There are some moving parts in the load and some late barrel tilt that could test his ability to handle higher velocity arms, but to this point, he’s impressed in tournament settings. Right now it’s mostly fringy raw power with ringing gap power.

That said, Willits has a lean frame with the hands and projection you look for in a guy who could ultimately get to average or better raw power. From the right side, it’s a bit more bat speed with louder results and a bit more opposite field power. The hit tool projects better from the left side, but he’s far from a liability as a right-handed hitter.

Interesting offensive tools from both sides of the plate.

16. New York Mets

Cam Leiter, RHP — Florida State
HOMETOWN: Island Heights, New Jersey
HEIGHT: 6-5
WEIGHT: 218
BAT/THROW: R-R

The Mets are .500 and could end up a playoff team when all is said and done, but for now, they’re in the lottery. Unfortunately with their spending, even if they do land the No. 16 pick here, it would be bumped to pick No. 26 with the luxury tax penalties they’d incur.

The Mets could use pitching. They’ve got some pieces coming, but they need more. Leiter is a tall, imposing righty with a mid-90s fastball that’s been up to 98, though it presently possesses reasonably generic shape.

Leiter’s mid-80s slider projects at least above average at the next level with significant depth and some two-plane tilt. That said, it is his low-80s curveball that is commanded better than his slider featuring tremendous depth with hammer shape. It’s a wipeout arsenal.

17. Houston Astros

Henry Ford, 1b/3B — Virginia
HOMETOWN: Charlottesville, Virginia
HEIGHT: 6-5
WEIGHT: 220
BAT/THROW: R-R

It would stand to reason the Astros will continue to supplement their future on the infield with their aging core.

Ford has easy power and uses every bit of his leverage at the plate. He’s short and direct to the ball with impact bat speed and feel for lift. The exit velocities support the eye test too. The pure hit tool is probably more fringy with whiff rates that can creep north against spin. He’s also an aggressive hitter who has shown a tendency to expand the zone.

Still, Ford’s impact on pitches inside the zone and relative absence of an enormous hole in his swing points toward a middle-of-the-order thumper at the next level — especially considering his size and physicality in the box.

Staying at third base will be especially critical for Ford’s draft stock in 2025. He played the vast majority of his games as a freshman at first base, a label he’d like to dissipate as a sophomore.

18. Kansas City Royals

Marcos Paz, RHP — Hebron HS
HOMETOWN: Carrollton, Texas
HEIGHT: 6-2
WEIGHT: 222
BAT/THROW: R-R

The Royals have had a tremendous season and are very much in play to go to the playoffs, but if they do end up picking here toward the end of the lottery a high school talent would never surprise me. Especially with Brian Bridges running the show.

Paz has long been on the radar of scouts going back to his freshman year in high school. A talented right-handed with an ultra-quick arm, Paz has been up to 95 with an easy operation and a reputation punch batters out. He’ll get a little squirrely at times as his control and command will waver, but he’s been pretty tough to square up when he’s on his game.

Paz’s slider is a good one registering north of 2800 rpm at times, and he’ll sprinkle in a mid-80s changeup to righties with some late life running away. Paz has a longer arm action, but everything he does is buttery smooth, if not a bit inefficient for the time being. As he works to engage his lower half and become more physical with his delivery, he could throw very, very hard.

Playoff Teams

19. San Diego Padres
Brady Ebel, SS — Corona HS (Calif.)

20. St. Louis Cardinals
Tre Phelps III, OF — Georgia

21. Boston Red Sox
Dean Curley, SS/3B — Tennessee

22. Minnesota Twins
Luke Stevenson, C — North Carolina

23. Seattle Mariners
Matt Scott, RHP — Stanford

24. Atlanta Braves
Josh Hammond, RHP — Westchester Country Day HS (N.C.)

25. Milwaukee Brewers
Ethan Conrad, OF — Wake Forest

26. New York Yankees
Andrew Fischer, 3B — Ole Miss 

27. Los Angeles Dodgers
Sean Gamble, SS/OF — IMG Academy (Ia.)

28. Baltimore Orioles
Daniel Dickinson, 2B — Utah Valley

29. Cleveland Guardians
RJ Austin, 2B/OF — Vanderbilt

30. Philadelphia Phillies
Nick Dumesnil, OF — Cal Baptist

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Joe Doyle

Joe Doyle is a senior analyst at FSS PLUS, leading coverage efforts in scouting, player development, and the MLB Draft. He previously was Director of Scouting at Prospects Live. Joe is the host of Over-Slot, a podcast centered on scouting and analytics.

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