The 2024 Preseason Top 30 lists are built around the idea of certainty and future Role. Similar to industry projection systems such as Future Value (FV), Overall Future Potential (OFP) and Grade, Role is a way to describe to what degree a player will add value to his organization at peak.
Our scale is a bit more conservative than other grading systems. We take into account recent seasonal performance, proximity to impact, metric/data analysis and industry conversations to build a case for the most likely outcome for any given player.
It is important to note these Role labels are fluid and can change as a player moves up the developmental ladder. It is not uncommon for a player to change his role projection over the span of even one month. Players jump from a Role 35 to a Role 40 quite quickly.
Things like mechanical adjustments and physical maturation can alter a player’s projection seemingly overnight. Players change. Keep that in mind.
Below is our Role chart used to place future projection on players.
ROLE | DESCRIPTION |
---|---|
20 | No organizational value. Non-prospect. |
30 | Organizational value, filler. Likely peaks at Triple-A or below. |
35 | Potential up-and-down, Quad-A prospect. Has some tools. Development necessary to secure prolonged MLB role. |
40 | Back-up at MLB level. No. 5 starter on non-competitive team. Depth. |
45 | Potential starter on contender. Bench player for championship-level team. |
50 | Starter on a championship-level team. Lacks star ceiling. Steady. Potential No. 4 starting pitcher. |
55 | Potential all-star. Some impact. Above average big-league regular. Mid-rotation starter on a contender. |
60 | All-star level player. Impact. Middle-of-the-order bat. No. 2 starter on good team. |
70 | Perennial all-star. Will contend for seasonal awards. Potential MVP/Cy Young upside. No. 1 starting pitcher. Ace. |
80 | Hall of Fame upside. Generational. MVP/Cy Young Favorite some years. Organizational pillar who can carry an entire franchise at times. |
You will not find players with a sub-50 Role on our Top 100 Prospect List. You are also unlikely to find any sub-35 Role players on a Top 30 board. Generally, organizations will have at least 30 players with big-league projection.
All rankings and roles by Joe Doyle
Player notes by Jason A. Churchill
The last time the Angels produced a consistent above-average regular was Mike Trout, the club’s second of two first-round picks 15 years ago. Perhaps Taylor Ward (2015, No. 26) is on his way, but it’s been a dry run of short-term flashes, traded talents, and failures.
There are signs things are changing, however. The club’s last two drafts have produced four majors leaguers already, including two projected everyday players. Time will tell the level of impact they make but evidence suggests GM Perry Minasian is matching players with the org’s developmental strengths more effectively than previous regimes.
RANK | PLAYER | POS | ROLE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Nolan Schanuel | 1B | 50 |
2 | Caden Dana | RHP | 45 |
3 | Nelson Rada | OF | 45 |
4 | Joswa Lugo | SS | 40 |
5 | Barrett Kent | RHP | 40 |
6 | Alberto Rios | OF | 40 |
7 | Denzer Guzman | SS | 40 |
8 | Victor Mederos | RHP | 40 |
9 | Jack Kochanowicz | RHP | 40 |
10 | Jordyn Adams | OF | 40 |
Schanuel, the No. 11 overall pick last July, skated through the minors in less than a month and batted .275 with a .402 OBP in 29 games for the Angels. He’ll make a lot of contact on the shoulders of plus strike zone judgment and a swing engineered to spray line drives all over the field.
At present, it’s below-average game power, but there’s enough bat speed to get to 20 homers if he can generate more loft to his pull side. Without improved power prodiction, Schanuel is an average regular at best, despite the high probability he’ll warrant a 26-man roster spot for the next several years.
Dana, the Angels’ 11th-round pick in 2022, looks the part of a classic power right-hander, touching the mid-90s and flashinga swing-and-miss curveball.
Year | Age | Lev | ERA | GS | IP | HR | BF | WHIP | BB9 | SO9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 4 |
He spent all of 2023 at age 19, loading up on whiffs and working on his changeup in 25 starts split between both Class-A levels. He did issue 30 walks in 68.1 innings (10.6%), but finished strong with a 25-5 K/BB ratio in his final 18.2 innings spaning three starts in High-A.
It’s a mid-rotation ceiling for Dana if he polishes his control and command and generates enough value with his changeup. He likely starts 2024 back in High-A Tri-City.
Kent was LAA’s eighth-round pick last July, flashing four-pitch promise and a mid-rotation upside. His best pitch is a slider with tilt.
The right-hander is almost certain to start 2024 in Low-A Indland Empire with an ETA of 2026 or 2027.
Mederos, 22, made his big-league debut last year, filling in for three relief innings scattered over three different call-ups.
He’s 94-98 mph with a sinker, setting up an above-average curveball and changeup. He’s a starter from a pure stuff standpoint, but needs more time to develop better command or his floor of a solid middle reliever comes into play.
Adams spent more than three years trying to play his way out of an aggressive age-19 assignment to High-A Tri City in 2019. His 70 speed and plus centerfield defense are enticing, but he’s struggled to get to his average raw power outside the altitude in Triple-A Salt Lake City.
The red flags here are poor contact rates driven by poor swing decisions, particularly on breaking balls. In his 40 plate appearances with the major-league club last summer, he struck out eight times without drawing a walk, suggesting he may start 2024 back in the minors.
RANK | PLAYER | POS | ROLE |
---|---|---|---|
11 | Kyren Paris | 2B | 40 |
12 | Cam Minacci | RHP | 40 |
13 | Adrian Placencia | 2B | 35 |
14 | Dario Laverde | C | 35 |
15 | John Wimmer | SS | 35 |
16 | Werner Blakely | 3B | 35 |
17 | Joe Redfield | OF | 35 |
18 | Kelvin Caceres | RHP | 35 |
19 | Jadiel Sanchez | OF | 35 |
20 | Felix Morrobel | SS | 35 |
21 | Juan Flores | C | 35 |
22 | David Calabrese | OF | 35 |
23 | Walbert Urena | RHP | 35 |
24 | Orlando Martinez | OF | 35 |
25 | Jorge Ruiz | OF | 35 |
26 | Arol Vera | SS | 35 |
27 | Ryan Costeiu | RHP | 35 |
28 | Cole Fontenelle | 3B | 35 |
29 | Mason Erla | RHP | 35 |
30 | Joel Hurtado | RHP | 35 |
Paris, like Adams, magically found home-run power in Salt Lake, blasting a career high 14 into the thin air, but don’t be fooled. The 2019 second-round pick is a speed-and-defense prospect with many of the same issues as Adams, most notably the track record of contact issues.
While Adams projects as an up-and-down player at this stage, Paris has a bit more time, since he’ll be 22 for all of 2024, and since he can play both middle infield spots opportunities are likely to come.
Minacci is a pure reliever out of Wake Forest (Rd. 6, 2023) with a shot at two plus pitches, a fastball into the upper-90s and a bat-missing power slider.
He didn’t get but 8.1 innings in after the draft, but could move quickly if he throws strikes, something that was an issue for him in college.
Caceras, a pure reliever, scrapes triple-digits with a two-seamer and has showcased two promising secondaries led by an average changeup and a hard curveball.
The righty reached Anaheim in 2024 and starts the spring on the radar for a bullpen role.
Urena, an undersized right-hander, boasts huge arm strength, reaching triple digits with carry, but his control and fringe-average secondaries suggest reliever risk.
In a bullpen role, Urena could move quickly through the minors.
Ruiz, 19, projects as an average defensive outfielder, but despite not having a lick of projectable power there’s still value in the bat thanks to high contact rates, advanced zone judgment, and the ability to spray the ball around from line to line.
Hurtado, 23, features a plus fastball and three secondaries with a chance, the best an 83-87 mph slider with downer break. He stays on top well, generating plane on a sinker.
His control needs work, but there’s No. 4 upside here and a chance he sees the bigs by 2025.
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